How to Trade Double Tops and Double Bottoms in Forex

fake double top pattern

After the second peak, there should be an increase in volume accompanied by an accelerated decline. For this reason, a demo account with us is a great tool for investors who are looking to make a transition to leveraged trading. When taking a trade you should always consider the other market participants. Price only forms from orders and hence it is important where somebody might take profit, open, close or add to a position. After the candlestick signal came about and our edge in the market is present, we place our trade and our stop loss.

So, a trailing stop can be placed once it’s hit or partials are taken. It is required to wait for the neckline break as it validates the pattern itself. During an uptrend, higher highs and lower highs are made consecutively. As seen in the image above, the double top consists of two peaks with a low between them. The eligibility for becoming a funded user is contingent upon meeting specific performance criteria and compliance with the Company’s evaluation processes. Not all users will qualify for funded accounts, and past performance in the simulated environment is not indicative of future success.

The graph above illustrates market phases and where traders should set stop-loss orders. Instead of watching the market swing into support, having a larger stop loss, and then with the possibility that it could just swing back in the opposite direction. Now, your stop loss has a shorter distance, compared to your original one where you place it above the tops. The market could just as well reverse swiftly back towards the upside. Recently, on the currency markets, we had such a situation, and if a trader knew the things described on the previous paragraph most likely the outcome of treating that pattern would be different.

The formation is complete when prices return to the neckline following the creation of the second top. Confirmation of a trend reversal occurs after breaking the “neckline” support level. Please remember that any move and close above the neckline invalidates the activated double top pattern. Similar to the double bottom formation, a double top pattern is one of the strongest reversal patterns out there.

How to Recognize a Fake Breakout?

We introduce people to the world of trading currencies, both fiat and crypto, through our non-drowsy educational content and tools. We’re also a community of traders that support each other on our daily trading journey. When the pattern experiences a false breakout, prices will usually rebound.

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  2. The height is then subtracted from the formation trough.For double bottoms, the take profit is determined from the height given by subtracting the formation peak with the lowest trough.
  3. Lastly, strong sector or industry performance often bolsters a double bottom.
  4. In the subsequent chart, you can observe the price approaching the 100 level, reaching 99.90 before sharply reversing.
  5. However, they can be extremely detrimental when they are interpreted incorrectly.

Following a return to the neckline, the price turns bearish and falls to the support level to form the second bottom. The formation is complete when prices return to the neckline, forming the second bottom. Finally, the bullish trend reversal is confirmed when prices breach the neckline or resistance level. After a strong advance, the initial peak occurs, and the price retraces back to the neckline. After retracing its steps back to the neckline, the price becomes bullish and advances toward the resistance level, forming the second top.

  1. After an asset has reached a high price two times in a row with a small decrease in price in between the two highs, a double top has formed, which is a very negative technical reversal pattern.
  2. When a double top or double bottom chart pattern appears, a trend reversal has begun.
  3. The longer the duration between them, the higher the probability of it being a deceptive move.
  4. A second attempt follows with price making almost the same top, this time 99.88, and a sharp reversal follows.
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After the price was rejected at the resistance, the market was strongly sold and the pound lost against the dollar for the next year. The movement was pretty strong and no real pullback happened for several weeks. For this reason it would have been a really good trade and a lot of people took great profit, making enough for a month or a year. Hence, the double-top pattern can be used with a momentum indicator, stochastic oscillator, and Relative Strength Indicator(RSI).

fake double top pattern

Momentum Indicator to Determine Entry Level Points

Conservative traders should wait for a qualified breakdown of double top support. If the price consolidates for some time in a tight range near double top support and then breaks down, we have our qualified entry. Given their frequent occurrence, it’s easy to be misled, but mastering the ability to correctly identify them can unveil substantial profit opportunities. In the context of a double top pattern, certain traders opt to sell when the price experiences a second dip, occurring shortly after the rebound and the formation of the second peak.

After the decline, analyse the trough for clues on the strength of demand. If the trough drags on a bit and has trouble moving back up, demand could be drying up. When the security does advance, look for a contraction in volume as a further indication of weakening demand. These chart patterns form during the brief period of uncertainty as a trend turns course. For example when a currency is in a bull trend that’s “topping out”, the first downward correction pulls in more buyers. If more buyers don’t come in, the market falls back and a reversal gathers momentum.

Before drawing any conclusions, one must, as a result, exercise a great deal of caution and patience. A true sign of a proper stop is a capacity to protect the trader from runaway losses. In the following chart, the trade is clearly wrong but is stopped out well before the one-way move causes major damage to the trader’s account.

A second attempt follows with price making almost the same top, this time 99.88, and a sharp reversal follows. Another thing to look out for is the time between the two possible tops or bottoms. The longer the time between them, the more chance it has of being a fake move, and conversely, the shorter the time between them (up to a point) the more likely it is that you are seeing a real reversal. An example of this can be seen in the EUR/USD monthly chart from 2008 when the price moved above the 1.60 level. The fact that the time between the two tops is short indicates a real reversal in progress, and as we can see, this is what transpired.

Option Trading

A less risky strategy involves placing the sell order after the price has dropped below the neckline support, turning this support into resistance. When combined with the upper line, two resistances are then positioned above the current price level. Breaking through both is necessary for the upward trend to resume.

All content published and distributed by Us and Our affiliates is to be treated as general information only. Testimonials appearing on the website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success. Sellers wait for a bearish trend to be confirmed before they place sell positions, by a breakthrough in the neckline confirms the bearish trend.

Double tops make this easy, but there are rules to help with the process. Otherwise, this indicator can lead to fake outs or misunderstanding fake double top pattern the reversal trends. Although there are variations, the classic double top pattern marks a change in trend from bullish to bearish.